Sunday, May 18, 2025

AI?

 

Well Respected Man

Cause he's oh, so good
And he's oh, so fine
And he's oh, so healthy
In his body and his mind
He's a well respected man about town
Doing the best things so conservatively
 

What about an Artificial Man?

The Kinks had a hit with Well Respected Man.  They were less fortunate but had something to say about Artificial Man in their album  Preservation Act 2 that had way less critical acclaim but was just as insightful.  Things aren’t always what they seem.  Just because you call it Artificial Intelligence does not mean that it is INTELLIGENT.  It is definitely Artificial, we can all agree on that.  But AI is only Artificial INFERENCE in that it can only be trained on data it has encountered, NOT on what it has NOT encountered.  When it encounters something unexpected, then its inference can be correct, or it can be hallucinating, making the wrong inference from that input. What it choses can never be better than its training data.  It has no more than a non-artificial, a real, intelligence chance of being correct.  At most game theory and statistics tell us that an individual agent can have no more than a 5/6, 83.33% chance of being correct.  If you want to rely on what the AI tells you to do then understand that the AI might deserve no more respect than you do.  You individually might be only 50% certain.  But collectively a group of 12 individuals, an unbiased jury, might be 99.99...% certain.  So a group of humans are still better than a single AI. That single AI can not be more than 83.33% correct.  A single AI can never be more certain than a jury of unbiased humans, but that approaches 100%.  

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