Thursday, September 25, 2025

Lies II

 

It Ain’t Necessarily So

But it ain't necessarily so,
No, it ain't necessarily so
They tell all your children
 That the devil, he's a villain
It ain't necessarily so

But what if it WAS necessarily so?

Every task consist of three parts; 1) execution, 2) prediction, and 3) communication.  In that order. Even if someone can execute well and predict reasonably well, then they may still communicate poorly. They have accomplished their task in that it primarily requires that you hit the target were it is going to be, not where the target was when you started. You might not be able to explain HOW you were able to hit the target, in which case you are a poor communicator, but not poor at the entire task.

The problem is that if the task is not one in which we are experts, we may judge whether someone has completed the task properly only on what is communicated to us. If someone is a great communicator, then that non-absolute communicator may convince us that he knew where the target was  going to be and hit it. If they are telling the truth, then we can truthfully assume that they actually WERE good at execution and prediction. However if they are lying in that communication, and did NOT really hit the target, then they are only good at communicating, NOT at completing the task.

So what is important is the truth, not lies. And that is why the Devil, the Prince of Lies, is characterized as a villain. Game Theory tells us that non-absolutes can come within 96% of the Absolute, be certain. Mathematics tells us non-absolutes can approach the Absolute, but not be the Absolute. Thus non-absolutes can still be very, very good, but not certain. Only 100%, the Absolute is certain. But Absolutely False, the Devil, can appear to be true from 96% to 99.3%. If we believe, in an effort to be certain, that this is better than what non-absolutes could ordinarily achieve, we may choose Absolutely False rather than Absolutely True. And that is the problem with accepting and judging by communication only. When we assume that what is being communicated is the truth, but it is lies, ….Truth is Lies, Up is Down, War is Peace, Freedom is Slavery, Ignorance is Strength,… then we have chosen a non-absolute to follow who is Absolutely False. Only the Absolute is winning AND true. Absolutely False may be winning and it may appear to be True in some cases, but it is still False. It IS necessarily so.

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