Friday, December 27, 2024

Perceptions

 

My Hero, Zero!

How wonderful you are, why we could never reach a star
Without you, Zero, my hero, how wonderful you are
What's so wonderful about a zero? It's nothing, isn't it?
Sure, it represents nothing alone

But place a zero after one, and you've got yourself a ten
See how important that is?
When you run out of digits, you can start all over again
See how convenient that is?
That's why with only ten digits including zero
You can count as high as you could ever go
Forever, towards infinity
No one ever gets there, but you could try

Zero IS my hero, but what kind of zero.

There are three kinds of zero: 1) absolute zero, 2) relative zero, and 3) repeating zero. Mathematically this can be expressed as

1.      0<x<∞, absolute zero;

2.      -∞<x<∞, relative zero; and

3.      (n-1)*π*<x<n*π*, repeating zero.

It is confusing because absolute zero is often expressed using a relative scale, but that does NOT make it a relative zero. Absolute zero occurs a temperature of 0º on the Kelvin scale. But temperature is more often reported using the Celsius or Fahrenheit scale, where e.g., 0º Celsius is the  boiling point of water. -4000º on the Celsius scale is undefined because absolute zero occurs at ‑453º Celsius. Nothing exists below absolute zero.

By contrast a relative zero is only a reference point and infinity exists before that reference point as well as after that reference point. For example time is a relative zero where the refence point can be the birth of Chris, the Common Era, the founding of Rome, the start of the Exodus, the Big Bang, etc.

A repeating zero is a recognition that zero may occur an infinite number of times for example as in wave functions. It will pass though zero an infinite number of times, periodically.

Not only are there three kinds of zero, but each also appears to correspond to a dimension. Space is an absolute zero. There is no such thing as negative space. There are three components of space: length, width, and height, but as Minkowski showed, it is useful to combine them into a single dimension of space. Time appears to be a relative zero with the reference event being now. There is an infinite amount time before that event, the past, and an infinite amount of time after that event, the future.

Space and time are often taken together as space-time. This defines reality and light is assumed to travel on a flat, Euclidean surface which defines a light cone. However, it is only an assumption that space-time is flat, Euclidean. The Earth's surface is spherical and is only perceived as flat because the radius of the surface of the Earth is so large. Similarly if the universe were hyperbolic, curved, then light would travel on that hyperbolic surface. and while there is an infinite amount of space-time in which light can travel, the range of that space-time repeats cyclically according to a hyperbolic function. If light travels on that hyperbolic surface, it might be more useful to speak not of inverted light cones, but two sheets of a hyperboloid where the separation between the two sheets is zero.

An absolute might then be represented as an infinite series of overlapping triangular waves.  Each wave would have a sharp transition point at its apex.  However to an observer on a hyperbolic surface that wave, and its discontinuity, would be perceived as almost smooth and would repeat infinitely with each period of that wave, even if the observer could  perceive only the period in which the observer was located. The sharp discontinuity at each half period would be perceived of as a single discontinuity.  If the variance of the wave is perceived as 5/6 of the true variance, then the mean/median/mode/location of that wave might then be assumed to be 6/5 of the true mean/median/mode/mode location of that discontinuity in order to correct for this perception.  Setting only the location, i.e. a User Optimal, or only the variance, i.e. a System Optimal is inferior to setting, and correcting the perceptions, of both the location and the variance, i.e. a Nash Equilibrium. 

Zero is still my hero, but that includes all three kinds of zero!

Wednesday, December 25, 2024

Merry Christmas

 

Charlie Brown

Charlie Brown, Charlie Brown He's a clown, that Charlie Brown He's gonna get caught, just you wait and see (Why's everybody always pickin' on me?)

You’re a good man, Charlie Brown.

https://youtu.be/eff0cqYefYY?si=66oMxhWo_UeYtH7f

Merry Christmas. Happy Hanukkah.  Blessed Diwali.  Happy Kwanzaa.  Happy Saturnalia.  Etc.  The meaning of all of these holidays is a belief in "Peace on earth, good will to ALL men", NOT just those men who are celebrating with you.

Saturday, December 21, 2024

The Future III

 

Restless Farewell

But to remain as friends You need the time to make amends And stay behind And since my feet are now fast And point away from the past I'll bid farewell and be down the line

MAGA? How about pointing AWAY from the past.

The lyric above is by 2016 Nobel Laurate Bob Dylan. The past is the choices that have already been made. The future is the choices that have yet to be made. The ratio of choices to be made in the future to the choices already made in the past is enormous, which means that the future is bigger than the past. But the fact that the past appears bigger than the future does not mean that you should choose the past, any more than the larger nickel is worth more than the smaller  dime. Despite what a toddler may think, a dime is worth more than a nickel.  If your feet are going to be fast, you can acknowledge the past, but remember that your feet point away from the past. And anyway you can’t revisit the past and change the choices that have been made. That is why Make America Great Again, MAGA, is so wrong headed. America has Always been GREAT  To embrace the future of America is to make it greater, not to only relive its past.

You can acknowledge the past and learn from it, but you can’t relive it. History does not repeat, but it sure does rhyme. Those who do not learn from the past are doomed to repeat it.

Tuesday, December 17, 2024

True or False?

 

The Hallelujah Chorus

King of Kings
For ever and ever
Hallelujah! Hallelujah!
And Lord of Lords
For ever and ever
Hallelujah! Hallelujah! 

For ever is an INFINITE amount of time. 

In a recent blog post https://dbeagan.blogspot.com/2024/12/intentions.html. I discussed payout tables, matrices. It is also possible to define these payout matrices using an equation of N replacing x.  In this case the payout matrix might be 

The certainty is 100% if the sum of C1+C2+C3+C4 is equal to 0. As N approaches infinity then ∞/(σ*N) also approaches 1 and the marginal of the true column of the matrix is greater the marginal of false column if  -1+C1+C3> C2+C4.  As N approaches 0 then ∞/(σ*N) also approaches 0 , and the marginal of the true column is greater than marginal of the false column if  1+C1+C3<C2+C4. 

For the payout matrix to be true, C3 must be equal to 0.  For the payout matrix to be normal, C2 must be equal to C4.  A normal AND true matrix has a solution of C1=2/3,  C3 =0, and C2=C4=-1/3.  There is NO normal distribution of N that is false.  For an absolute, infinity, the payout matrices have to be  

absolutely true,  dominantly true, dominantly false,  and 
absolutely false.

Only the first two matrices are always true.  It is acceptable to have a payout matrix that is certain and true, but it should not be acceptable to have a payout matrix that is certain and false.  Similarly it is possible to have a payout matrix where N follows a normal distribution, and while it is possible to have a payout matrix that is false, the N members of that group would have to follow an ABnormal distribution. As stated previously, as N approaches INFINITY that ABnormal matrix would also have to be false.

,

 

 

 

 

 

 

Thursday, December 12, 2024

Intentions

 

Please Don’t Let Me Be Misunderstood

Well if I get edgy, I want you to know
I never mean to take it out on you
Life has its problems, I get more than my share
But there's one thing that I would never do
‘Cause I love you
Oh, I'm just a soul whose intentions are good
Oh Lord, please don't let me be misunderstood 

Intentions matter more than results! 

Results are random.  Intentions are NOT random.  A result could be a win OR a loss. Intentions can be good OE bad.  But don’t be misunderstood.  A payoff table of intentions versus results might indicate a win, but that win could come from bad intentions.  It is still a win, but your intentions were bad.  Don’t let that be misunderstood either.

A payoff matrix is shown below for results AND intentions. The certainty of the payoff matrix is the value of the whole matrix, table, which in each case  is 1.0 or 100%.  However the payoff matrix on the left is certainty with GOOD intentions and the payoff matrix on the right is certainty with BAD intentions.


This condition is unchanged  if the attributes are recharacterized from good and bad intentions to true and false. 


The payoff matrices above  are with every cell as an integer of 1.  If the cells are allowed to  be fractional values between 0 and 1, then the following payoff matrices are possible. In each case the certainty is still 100%, but the payoff matrix on the left below can be characterized as a true win while the payoff matrix on the right can be characterized as a false win.


These are not the only matrices which are possible.  If the value of any cell has to be greater than zero, which is identical to saying that x has to be greater than zero, then  the payoff matrices will still have a certainty of 100%, but they can be generalized where the matrix on the left is a transpose/mirror/reflection of the matrix on the right, i.e. false is the transpose of truth.  Normal is a statistical term that the distribution of the number of false wins is identical to, and offsets, the number of false losses. Alternatively, the SUM of false wins and false losses can be viewed as a Tie, since there are three outcomes for every contest, (Win, Loss AND Tie), while there are four cells in a payoff matrix.



IOW, to not be  misunderstood, whether you lose or win, don't be transposed, because then you will be false.


Friday, December 6, 2024

Mandate

 

Landslide

I took my love; I took it down Climbed a mountain and I turned around And I saw my reflection in the snow covered hills ‘til the landslide brought me down

A landslide? I thought that money voted? What do you mean it is land? Make up your mind!

Donald Trump is claiming that his election as President was a landslide and therefore he has a mandate. Huh? He received a plurality, but not a majority, of the popular vote (which is the people) but a majority of the electoral votes. A problem is how the electoral votes are awarded. A mandate is when the President is elected as the clear choice of the people AND the clear choice of the states. The popular vote is the choice of the people. The States are each awarded two electoral votes. But the electoral votes are awarded  as winner-takes-all in all but two states, instead of separately  by congressional district AND the whole state, as Nebraska does. In other words, there is no mandate if the electoral votes are combined and awarded in a winner-take-all process as if a state were a single district, unless there is a mandate according to the Nebraska method in every state. Additionally, in order for electoral voters to have a real choice, then there have to be at least three choices in each case, (win, loss, AND tie) and there were NOT three candidates in every state and congressional district. This could have been prevented if the two political parties had instead presented two slates of candidates, In this way two political parties could present four choices on a ballot. But this was also not the case.

The fact that money is better correlated with population centers, e.g., the popular vote, and NOT with land area, even if the popular vote and electoral/land vote are the same, then the popular vote is only a plurality, not a majority, And this is an indication that there is NO mandate of money, votes or states, especially not a landslide.

Monday, December 2, 2024

Politics

 

Politician

I'm a political man and I practice what I preach.
I'm a political man and I practice what I preach.
So don't deny me baby, not while you're in my reach.

So what are my politics?

If I were to characterize my political leanings it would be, as my hero Mark Twain, as a Mugwump Republican. I make this distinction because today's Republican Party seems to be only the MAGA wing and Mugwumps have been primaried out of the party. The Mugwumps of Twain's day might have opposed the corruption of the Stalwart Republicans, but at least they were still considered part of the Party.

Why am I a Republican? I am for limited government and low taxes, not NO government and NO taxes. But I am also for Truth, Justice (for the group), and the American way(inclusion). I do not think that just because something is better today, it will be always better.

Truth is eternal, not just for today.

Justice for the Group, not just for oneself, requires respecting the choices of each individual in the group. This means ALL choices (Mind your own business!). I can’t assume that my perception of Truth is correct.

The American Way (inclusion) is in keeping with N, the size of the group, approaching infinity. Actions to limit the size of the group, whether those actions are deportations, voter suppression, discrimination, Jim Crow laws, etc., are wrong.

The statement that “The  Government ( i.e. the group) IS the problem”  is wrong. The government is “of the people, by the people, and for the people” according to Abraham Lincoln, the first and greatest Republican President. Anti-trust and the elimination of monopolies were hallmarks of Republican Theodore Roosevelt (as were national parks and environmentalism). The elimination of the abomination of chattel slavery, which limits the size of the group, was the reason that the Republican Party was founded.

The people in the government may be wrong and following Lord Acton’s maxim that “power corrupts, and absolute power corrupts absolutely”, the government (which must inevitably consist of representatives of the people, who are themselves PEOPLE), is NOT wrong, but the PEOPLE in the government may be wrong. That is why there are elections. Change the government, do NOT eliminate the government. It is a lot easier and faster to destroy than to build. But it is more admirable to be a builder than a destroyer.