Wednesday, January 29, 2025

Perceptions IV

 

You’ve Got to Hide Your Love ( Beach Boys version)

Hey! Somebody hid my teeth away (Just call that number...) Hey! Somebody hid my teeth away (Everly Brothers.) (Hey!) (What's the best Everly Brothers song? Besides, ah...) (Go.) ("Bird Dog.") (Who's gonna fool with it?) (You're gonna fool with it. You and me.) (You shouldn't fool with an Everly Brothers song--you should do it right.)

You shouldn’t fool with ANYthing, just do it right!

Trying to make inferences from existing trends is good. But remember they are only inferences. Don’t expect those inferences to be perfect, and be prepared to change them and NOT fall in love with your inferences.  Not only your inferences, but the inferences that others make should also be questioned. What seems to be consistent with your inferences might only be a foolish consistency and remember what Emerson said about foolish consistencies.

For example the trend inferred of perceiving the absolute. The absolute  will be perceived from a frame of reference. Our frame of refence is not absolute so we can’t expect our perception of the absolute to be absolutely correct. Just because someone else’s perception seems to be close to ours, that does not confirm ours.

Our perception of the absolute can be a System Perspective, that the perceived slope of the absolute is all that is important. It can also be a User Perspective, that the starting point of the absolute is all that is important. It can be that  the perceived starting point AND the perceived slope are both important. Thus is called a Nash Equilibrium after mathematician John Nash.

The perception of the slope of only that is the System Optimal, SO, parameter trended to the perceived starting point is close to the User Optimal, UO,  parameters. The parameters of the Nash Equilibrium, NE, are not close to either those of the SO or UO. But the parameters of the Nash Equilibrium match better to the perception the absolute than either that of the System or User Optimals.



The blue dots and lines are User Optimals, UO. The red dots and lines are the System Optimals, SO. The brown dots and lines are Nash Equilibriums, NE. Despite the fact that the UO and SO parameters are close together at the left side of this graph, the parameters of the Nash Equilibrium are closer to  both the perceptions of the absolute at both the Left, and Right sides of the graph, despite being farther away from the trend of either UO or SO parameters. It is more important to be consistent with the perception of the absolute than it is to be consistent with the perception of others. Don’t be fooled.

 

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