Winning

 

Everybody Wants To Rule The World

I can't stand this indecision
Married with a lack of vision
Everybody wants to rule the—
Say that you'll never, never, never, never need it
One headline, why believe it?
Everybody wants to rule the world

Don’t try to rule the world, the absolute has already beat you to it!

There is a difference between certainty and dominance. The absolute is certain 100% of the time. The winner, dominator, of any contest between two groups, when those groups are NOT absolute, even if the contest is normal and fair, is only certain 91% of the time. If the contest is fair, then it can be assumed that the number of false losses will be equal to, offset, the number of false wins. If the contest is NOT normal, then the number of false wins can be greater than the number of false losses, and the winner of the contest can be false and not certain.

If the contest is certain and normal, then the number in each group has to approach the absolute, infinity. Measures to decrease the numbers of any of the competing groups, such as voter suppression or discrimination, will only increase the percentage of wins which are uncertain.

If a contest is a zero-sum game, e.g. there is no growth, then the winner has an incentive to maximize false, uncertain, wins and then to destroy their opponent so that there will be no more contests with that opponent. That incentive does not exist in non-zero sum games, nor in contests where the players can not be destroyed.

If contests are fair and normal, they can still be only false wins 9% of the time. If the contest is fair and normal, the percentage of false wins should also be equal to the percentage of false losses.  Ranked choice voting for example rehabitates ballots when its winner receives only a plurality of the wins until a majority is achieved. The second place finisher of each eliminated ballot then becomes the presumptive first place finisher when ballots after the lowest first place candidate is eliminated and the ballots are recounted. This is identical with a winner being determined by total points where a first place finish is worth 3 points, a second place finish is worth 2 points, and a third pace finish is worth 1 point. That is how sports polling, selection of a list of Best restaurants, etc., or many polls are determined.

If the number of members of a group is not restricted, zero sum games are not allowed, and rank choice voting is used, then the contests can be fair and normal. The winner of that contest will be certain, true, 91% of the time. If the entry to the contest  is restricted, zero sum games are allowed, and rank choice voting is not used, a dominate win can be only because of false wins, not because of true wins.  As always, any winner whose is not an absolute can approach, but not be, an absolute.