Friday, July 21, 2023

Choice VI

 

What'd I Say, Pt. 1

See the girl with the red dress on She can do the Birdland all night long, yeah, yeah What'd I say? All right Well, tell me what'd I say

I want to choose what I want, not what you say!

The moral imperative is strong in the United States.  Whether it is religion, alcohol, pornography, sex work, drug use, birth control, abortion, miscegenation, misogyny, etc., those who have chosen to not use or do something feel superior to those who might choose to use or do it.

But if there is one choice, Good and no choice, Not Good, which is different than Good and Evil which is two choices, Good, Evil and no choice, Not Good/Not Evil, then forcing your choice on others results in fewer individuals in the same time making the same choice that you did.

Regardless of whether you force everyone to make your choice, or you let them make their own choice, ultimately everyone will make the same choice.  It is just that mathematically you can show that more individuals will make that choice if they are not forced.  Forcing a choice gets to that choice at a slower rate.  Changing the variance, the range of choices, does not change the Cumulative Distribution Function where everyone is forced to make one choice, an exponential distribution.  However increasing, or decreasing, the variance, σ2, whose square root goes by the term standard deviation, only changes the shape of the cumulative random choice slightly.  It appears that thinking that this is the only choice confuses the choice with the variance.  However if only one choice is available, then the range, s, which is half of that choice, and the variance is 0.822 not 1.  In fact it is not until s=1, which implies two choices not one, that the random continuous curve approaches the exponential distribution curve which has a discontinuity at a location, µ.

The point I am trying to make is that it is the destination, not the path to reach that destination, that is important.  Acting like your path is the only path ignores those who reached that destination before you, but chose a different path.  And it ignores those who would have reached that destination after you but might have chosen a different path.  Acting like there is only one destination, when in fact this is more similar to the results of choosing that destination AND its opposite, a hyperbolic tangent, rather that one destination and no destination at all.

So by forcing everyone to choose your path, you are making it slower for everyone to reach the same destination as you; and you are implicitly acknowledging that there are two destinations, not one.  You are making not an argument between pro-choice and no choice.  You are making the argument between two opposing choices.  You are actually arguing for more standard deviation rather than less.

But will the math convince anyone?  LOL, the same people advocating for only their path are the same ones who tried to get the value of pi, π, changed to 3, because they thought otherwise the math was too hard.  Arguing for “no choice” is like arguing that 2+2=5. Why argue in favor of truth when there are alternatives facts, …uh lies….,  available?



Wednesday, July 19, 2023

Humor

 

I Started A Joke

I started a joke Which started the whole world crying But I didn't see That the joke was on me, oh no

Tain’t funny, McGee

So what is funny? Humor is an incongruity, e.g. between a statement and an action, which is unintentional, or not intended as harm. A stuffy individual walking with dignity and slipping on a banana peel is funny. An insult that is not meant as an insult is funny, or at least that is what Don Rickles always said. An insult that was meant as an insult using the catch phrase from the Fibber McGee and Molly radio show, Tain’t funny. It is an insult.

Saying that an insult was not meant an insult but as a joke, does not make it less of an insult, It also does not mean that the insulted person can not take a joke. The ability to get a joke may be a way to discern whether someone is lying or telling the truth.

When Jonathan Swift wrote his book A Modest Proposal, he was intending humor, not writing a cookbook for the elimination of Irish children. Those who viewed it as a cookbook had to be reminded that it was humor. Unfortunately, this recently had to include Donald Trump’s lawyer in the E. Jean Carroll defamation lawsuit, where the judge felt compelled to remind Donald Trump’s lawyer that when E Jean Carroll called her book What Do We Need Men For? A Modest Proposal she was obviously writing humorously, not stating a personal opinion. When Marjorie Taylor Greene banged the gavel calling for order in the House chamber, the laughter that resulted was the incongruity of someone who flaunted House decorum, now calling for order. Saying that something is a joke does not make it a joke. Saying that a joke is a fact does not make it a fact. Being contrary to the facts is a lie, so reacting with laughter instead of anger, is being more than kind.

Tuesday, July 18, 2023

Changes

 

Crown of Creation

Life is change How it differs from the rocks I've seen their ways too often for my liking New worlds to gain My life is to survive And be alive for you
No Man is an island. He’s a peninsula!

If you are pro-life, then you must also be pro-change!

Saying that life is change and that no man is an island means that mankind must be in favor of change and is a group animal not an individual animal. And as Shakespeare would say, “Therein lies the rub.”  Acting to oppose change, and acting as individuals, is easier. I personally do not like any change. I have been having the same breakfast at home almost every day for the last 20 years. I also like to pretend I am an individual and don’t like joining any groups. I don’t want to be a member of any group that would have me as a member. But acting to oppose change and like there are no groups of which you are not a part might be why we have problems today.

The current 435 members of the US House, and thus the current electoral college, might have been an acceptable compromise in 1911. Making it automatic might have been acceptable in 1941. However the world has changed in 2023 from what it was in either 1911, or 1941. Maybe the current method of reapportionment is no longer appropriate.

The world looks flat to an individual. But the world only appears locally flat but is actually round.

A current individual might not be able to construct the Great Pyramid. But that does not mean that it was built by aliens instead of a group of individuals.

Climate change happens over a very long time, probably longer than any individual’s lifetime, but that does not mean that it is not real for a group of individuals.  Just ask the ancient Mayans or the modern Pacific Islanders whether climate change is real.

I can’t make my own clothes, or even the cloth from which many clothes are made, but that does not mean that my ancestors were all unclothed. But that also does not mean that to survive as an individual, I must master all of those skills. Survivalists take note that the uncontacted “stone age tribes “ in the Amazon jungle may in fact be the descendants of survivalists from the Inca civilization.

Diseases can wipe out or change cultures in addition to killing individuals. Never mind COVID. Ask the indigenous Americans about smallpox or the Europeans about the Black Death.

Humans can influence climate change. The Mongol invasions in the 1200s probably brought about the Little Ice Age. https://umaine.edu/news/blog/2016/02/05/climate-change-and-the-rise-of-the-mongol-empire/

So opposing change and acting like only individuals matter is contributing to the problem, not a solution.

Friday, July 14, 2023

Bastille Day

 

La Marseillaise.

Aux armes, citoyens
Formez vos bataillons
Marchons, marchons!
Qu’un sang impur
Abreuve nos sillons!

Viva La France!

On this French National Day, the French National Anthem is sure to be played.  As you listen, remember that it is about the love of any country.  In the film Casablanca, its playing is led by a Czechoslovakian resistance leader in an American Club in French Morocco while the resistance leaders Norwegian wife looks on and a Spanish guitarist lustily joins in.  The song is sung to drown out the singing by the Nazi soldiers.  But it is because of a love of country.  The song inspires the phrase Long Live France, not Death to Germany”.  
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cOeFhSzoTuc

On the US's Independence Day, the Boston Pops plays the 1812 Overture which also features the melody of the French National Anthem.  But in this case it is first played triumphantly and then as a fading melody to symbolize the retreat of Napoleon’s invading Army.   This same Anthemn can symbolize love of country in the face of domination, or the failed domination by an invader.  Sing this stirring Anthem with love, and oppose domination.

Tuesday, July 11, 2023

Choice V

 

Freedom of Choice

A victim of collision on the open sea
Nobody ever said that life was free
Sink, swim, go down with the ship
But use your freedom of choice

But it is your choice, not my choice.

Variance, σ2, is the number that expresses the range of choices.  If there are two choices, e.g. a two‑sided coin, then the two choices are 1, heads and 2, tails, and the square root of the variance, σ2,  is 1/6 because the mean choice, µ, is 1.5, and 1.5 plus 3σ, where σ is the square root of the variance, includes those two choices.  For a six-sided die, with outcomes of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 or 6, the mean choice is 3.5, the square root of the variance is 2.5/3=.83333, and the variance is 0.69444 .  For a one-sided die, a mobius strip, where the choice is only 1, the mean choice is 0.5, which is also the odds, and the variance is 1/36.  If there is no choice, then the variance is NOT zero. It is undefined.  Acting as if there is no choice, which is virtually identical to saying that everyone should be making my choice, may be why we are in the current dilemma. 

Saying that Lies are equal to Truth means that there were two choices.  Saying that you have chosen Truth and everyone else should choose Truth does not change the fact that there were originally two choices, not one choice.  Saying that there is Truth and No Truth, but Truth is greater than No Truth means that there is only one choice,  i.e. is pro-choice, not no choice.  

The following graphs are intended to visualize the problem.  The exponential distribution is one attempt to show how outcomes are distributed given an input.  Its Probability Density Function, PDF, is λe-λx and its Cumulative Distribution Function, CDF, is 1-e-λx for x>0.  This can be coordinate transformed to a new location from a location of 0 to a location of μ, as PDF =λe-λ(x­-μ) and CDF  Cumulative Distribution Function as 1-e-λ(x-μ) , both for x>µ. However all inputs, not just x>µ , should be considered and the exponential distribution can only consider a limited number of inputs.  It might be mirrored to consider all inputs.  

A random normal distribution is the logistics distribution whose PDF is ½*(1/2s)*sech2((x-μ)/2s) and whose CDF is ½*(tanh((x-μ)/2s)+1).  S is a range variable that is related to the variance by σ2=s2π2/3.  If the variance is equal to the odds for one choice, Random Normal 2 , then its PDF looks like the exponential distribution and its mirror PDF.  However if s, not the variance, is equal to the odds for one choice, Random Normal 1, then its  PDF no longer looks like that of the PDF for the exponential distribution and its mirror.  The exponential distribution and its mirror also appears more similar to two choices rather than one choice when its CDF is considered.  And the CDF is absolutely not like no choice which would be a flat line.




Calling the variance, the odds for choice, because you don’t like the choice is no different than calling yourself Indiana because you don’t like the name Junior.  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DYtWWLqeSKA  It does not change the fact that your name is Henry Junior, and the dog’s name was Indiana. 


Saturday, July 8, 2023

Storytelling II

 

As Time Goes By

It's still the same old story
A fight for love and glory
A case of do or die
The world will always welcome lovers
As time goes by

And we will ALWAYS need stories.

Star of stage, screen, and television? No matter what, it is all about storytelling. 

Performances/storytelling on stage are unique to a time AND place. It is a  performer's medium who decides when it is pencils down. (e.g. Taylor Swift, Hugh Jackman, Lauren Bacall, Zero Mostel, etc.)

The screen is also about storytelling, but the performance can be shown at multiple places at the same time, but only at the times dictated by those who own the screens. The screen is a director’s medium who decides when it is pencils down. (e.g. Michael Curtiz, John Ford, Steven Spielberg, Frank Capra, etc.)

Television is also storytelling but the producers decide when it is pencils down and who freeze the medium (e.g. Shonda Rimes, Quinn Martin, Norman Lear, Mark Burnett, etc.) .  The story can be told in multiple places at many times AND can be shown in the home.

Thus it is always a story, art, but who owns and sells that story, art, gets complicated.

IMHO, the art can NEVER be owned by a corporation or AI, and must be always be a human. https://dbeagan.blogspot.com/2023/06/intellectual-property.html .  IMHO, AI, is Artificial Inference,  and those inferences can NOT be made from copyrighted material, or else it is a copyright infringement. The copyright is issued by a nation, and the people of that nation own the art after the copyright has expired, and have agreed that the artist has a right to license that art for a certain period of time.

IMHO, the people also have a right to say how a copyright holder can license the art while it is copyrighted/protected. It was true when the constitution was written and it still is true. Those who create the story should be compensated for that story, or there is no incentive to create new stories.

Thursday, July 6, 2023

Atheism

 

God Only Knows

God only knows what I'd be without you God only knows what I'd be without you If you should ever leave me Well life would still go on believe me The world could show nothing to me So what good would living do me

Unless you are God, then you don’t know.

A common assumption is that all scientist are atheists.  I would suggest that nothing could be further from the truth. Scientists instead try to uncover natural laws which explain how the mind of God works.  This instead leads to a possible lack of humility that if humans can just find all of the natural laws, then humans will be equal to God and THIS can be confused with atheism.  But if the natural laws include random results, choice, and scientists are not able to predict the results of random events, then scientists have discovered how the mind of God operates, but scientists can never be equal to God.

The hubris is thus that scientists can uncover all natural laws AND that there are no random events, which is the basis for Determinism.  One of the most famous proponents of Determinism was perhaps Albert Einstein who, when confronted with the randomness of quantum mechanics, objected by supposedly saying "God does not play dice with the Universe".  In Determinism, where everything happens for a reason, if you can just discover that reason, then eliminating those reasons that cause outcomes you don’t desire will lead to only outcomes that you do desire.  If you are a believer in Determinism, then eliminating certain actions ( e.g. not stepping on cracks) or blaming actions on scapegoats, makes sense.  However if stuff just happens, then you are NOT a believer in Determinism, and superstition or scapegoating makes no sense.  Saying that God only knows and I can not ever be God is consistent with the latter position.  Saying God knows AND you can be like God is consistent with the former position.

So the question is NOT “Are scientists atheists?”.  The question is “Do Determinists believe in God, tolerance, and free will?”.