Instant Karma
( We All Shine On)
Instant
Karma's gonna get you
Gonna look you right in the face
Better get yourself together darlin'
Join the human race
How in the world you gonna see
Laughin' at fools like me
Who in the hell do you think you are
A super star
Well, right you are
Sometimes
Karma ain’t so instant, but it’s still there.
Having said that I don’t believe in certification, https://dbeagan.blogspot.com/2024/06/ethics.html,
then why do I have a Professional Engineering, PE, certification? It all goes
back to 1987. I had written a computer program which was used to compute the performance
of an intersection. That program was being used by a town to deny a zoning change
to property owners. In my opinion the town's consultant, who was using the program, had operated it improperly. I let the town know that. I
was called as an expert witness for the town’s side in a court case concerning their
decision. I expected that my opinion was going to be heard at that time. Instead
the town’s attorney asked me one, and only one, question on the stand, “Was I a
Professional Engineer?” At the time I was not, so I answered no. I was immediately
dismissed from the stand with no further questions. The consultant, whom I thought
operated my program improperly, WAS a Professional Engineer, as was established
by the first question in his testimony. All of his further calculations were then believed, while mine was not even heard. Needless to say the very first thing I
did upon returning home was to start the process of getting my own Professional
Engineering license.
Almost 20 years later, I was advising a client in a court
case where this same PE in that previous case was on the opposing side. I pointed out to my client’s
lawyers a basic mistake which had been made in his report. It was that he
averaged averages. It sounds esoteric, but it is not. For example, if a husband
works for a non-profit and has a salary of $40K per year, while his wife works in
private practice and has a salary of $200K per year, then the household has a combined salary of $240 K per
year. If the husband gets a 100% pay increase to $80K per year while the wife receives
a
0% pay increase the household does NOT have a 50% increase, the average of those percentage increases. That would mean that the household salary would be $330 K per year, while in reality it was only
$80K plus $200K, or $280 K per year, an increase of only 17%. And that is why you don’t average averages. The consultant
had used this error to compute the future growth in traffic at an intersection
by averaging the growth in low traffic counts with the growth in high traffic counts
and then applying that average to all traffic counts.
When I pointed this error to my client’s attorney, he was overjoyed.
When the opposing PE was sworn in on the stand, that lawyer asked about this, and
my example was used. My client’s attorney then moved to strike the consultant’s entire
report as inadmissible evidence and the judge concurred. Thus while not even
taking the stand, and it had taken 20
years to get there, it felt as if Karma
had paid me back.
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