Saturday, February 15, 2025

Common Sense.

 

Common As Muck

You're not Bridget Bardot, I'm not Jack Palance.
I'm not Shirley Temple by any circumstance,
Or Fred Astaire

We're as common as muck.
Bonne chance, viel glück, good luck
Where bold is beautiful, we don't give a damn
Luvva duck, we're as common as muck.

Maybe common sense isn’t very common.

We assume our leaders will have common sense. Leaders on average do approximate the range variable, s,  the tolerance, aka the Standard Deviation, of the absolute. In fact they match it better than most other ages of life in a group. But those who should be leaders are only 60% of the group.  The Voters and Advisors do better at matching the Absolute.

Even leaders can’t perceive the location variable, μ, of the absolute. They pale besides the Nash Equilibrium, whose followers perceive more of the absolute than is actually there. A Nash Equilibrium acts like the Absolute has a median/mean/location that is 120% of its actual value. But by doing so, it ensures that the members of the group are closer to their perception of the absolute.

 

 

s

μ

Absolute Zero

100%

Absolute

Perceived

Young Ward

0.070

NA

 

0.45

41%

Voter

0.288

NA

0.041

0.86

90%

 Leader

0.459

NA

(0.042)

1.22

144%

Advisor

0.288

NA

(0.221)

1.04

90%

Old Ward

0.070

NA

0.142

0.96

41%

 User Optimal

NA

0.000

1.500

NA

NA

System Optimal

0.250

NA

0.500

2.91

100%

Nash Equilibrium

0.500

1.885

0.023

2.91

100%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Absolute

0.500

1.571

0.000

3.142

100%

 

Individuals acting as a group perceive the absolute from their own frame of reference, hyperspace. By acting as if the Absolute is more than what can be perceived, the group can better match their perception of absolute.

But the values in the table for leaders are only the average of all those who could be leaders, not those individuals who are actually chosen as leaders. Individuals within the group of leaders are just as subject to error as anyone else. And even leaders are better at only the range of the absolute, not the Absolute itself. The current allies in MAGA of User Optimalists and System Optimalists don’t come close to the  the Absolute.  That is reserved for Nash Equilibriumists.  Even the common sense of leaders is NOT very common, and it definitely is not absolute.

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