Thursday, February 6, 2025

Fair

 

All in Love is Fair

But all is fair in love
I had to go away
A writer takes his pen
To write the words again
That all in love is fair

What is fair?

According to game theory, a fair game requires at least three players. one of which could be the referees enforcing the rules of the game. This creates a problem when there are only two players or one of the two players in a “fair” game cheats to achieve a false win. To avoid this a fair game should also be normal (false wins equal to false losses) and N, the number of potential players, should approach infinity. Even with these caveats, a fair normal game in two dimensions can only be certainly correct 91.29% of the time.

Any attempt to limit the number of players ( e.g. by voter suppression, discrimination, etc.) or by making any component of the game a zero-sum goes against the assumption that N is approaching infinity. (Currently the number of congressional seats and thus their electoral votes are fixed, a zero sum.)

Any attempt to award a win with only a plurality of votes and not a majority of votes also violates these criteria and this is why Rank Choice Voting is provided so that each voter has at least three choices. Only Alaska awards votes using Ranked Choice Voting.

In the US, electoral votes are supposed to be awarded on the basis of State (Senate) AND congressional districts. Only Maine and Nebraska currently award electoral votes in this manner, all other states award electoral votes by whole State only.

Making these changes (Eliminating voter suppression; eliminating zero-sum components; Ranked Choice Voting: and awarding electoral votes not by entire states)  does not change the fact that the elections can never be 100% certain in the two dimensional reality of space-time, but will ensure that each election is closer to being 91.29%, √(5/6)%, certain. Maybe they can’t be 100% certain, but they can be fair.

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